USDCAD spot rate: 1.3238 - 1.3243 (as at 8:00am PST)
Ranges: | Asia: | 1.3241 | to | 1.3273 |
Europe: | 1.3223 | to | 1.3255 | |
North America: | 1.3222 | to | 1.3264 |
Technical Support / Resistance:
S2 | S1 | R1 | R2 |
1.3165 | 1.3225 | 1.3280 | 1.3325 |
Key Economic Data Releases:
- Foreign portfolio investment in Canadian securities: $10.68 billion (exp $12.14b / prev $15.05b)
- Canadian portfolio investment in foreign securities: -$9.87 billion / prev $15.42 billion)
- U.S. building permits: 1.168m (exp 1.25m/prev 1.228m) % change -4.9% (exp 1.8%/prev -2.5%)
- U.S. housing starts: 1.092m (exp 1.215m / prev 1.156m) % change -5.5% (exp 4.1% /prev-2.8%)
- U.S. consumer sentiment index: 94.5 (exp 97.1 / prev 97.1)
- U.S. labour market conditions index: 2.3 (exp 3 / prev 3.7)
- Bank of Japan interest rate decision: -0.10% (exp -0.10% / prev -0.10%)
Key Event Calendar:
Date | Canada | U.S.A. |
June 19 June 20 June 21 June 22 June 23 | Wholesale sales Retail sales CPI | Current account Q1 Existing home sales, crude oil inventories Manufacturing PMI, services PMI, new home sales |
Yesterday, USDCAD climbed from 1.3225 up to 1.3308 before easing to 1.3260 in the afternoon. The USD made slight gains as Wednesday's Fed decision to leave the future interest rate outlook relatively unchanged from the March meeting despite 4 consecutive months of weaker inflation data caught the market off guard. Overnight, the USD saw some strength during the Asian session after the Bank of Japan maintained its interest policy but the trend changed into the London and North American sessions. Another round of weaker than expected U.S. data and the USD is the worst performing currency today. Despite the Fed's dot plot indicating another rate hike this year, market probabilities of a 3rd hike are at the lowest of the year while U.S. 10 year yields also remain near 8 month lows. After testing 1.3273 last night, USDCAD has made a couple of runs towards yesterday's low near 1.3220. Currently, the TSX and the DJIA are both down nearly 0.20%. EURCAD is up 0.25% trading between 1.4763 and 1.4847 – still near 2 month lows. GBPCAD is up 0.20% trading between 1.6880 and 1.6965. JPYCAD is unchanged trading between 0.01188 and 0.01197 having earlier dipped ¾% towards a 2 month low after the Bank of Japan interest rate policy announcement. Gold is up 0.22% trading between $1,252 and $1,257USD/oz., silver is down 0.28% trading between $16.66 and $16.83USD/oz., while oil is up 0.60% trading between $44.24 and $44.91.
Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, FXStreet, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve, CNBC, Forexlive, CME Group