USDCAD spot rate: 1.2593 - 1.2598 (as at 8:15am PST)
Ranges: | Asia: | 1.2465 | to | 1.2520 |
Europe: | 1.2490 | to | 1.2520 | |
North America: | 1.2476 | to | 1.2609 |
Technical Support / Resistance:
S2 | S1 | R1 | R2 |
1.2420 | 1.2450 | 1.2609 | 1.2680 |
Key Economic Data Releases:
- Canada CPI m/m: 0.2% (exp 0.3% / prev 0.1%) y/y: 1.6% (exp 1.6% / prev 1.4%)
- Canada core CPI common: 1.5% (prev 1.5%) trim: 1.5% (prev 1.4%) median: 1.8% (prev 1.7%)
- Canada retail sales: -0.3% (exp 0.5% / prev 0.4%) core: -0.7% (exp 0.3% / prev 0.2%)
- U.S. existing home sales: 5.39m (exp 5.30m / prev 5.35m) %: 0.7% (exp -1.0% / prev -1.7%)
Key Event Calendar:
Date | Canada | U.S.A. |
Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25 Oct 26 Oct 27 | Wholesale sales Bank of Canada interest rate | Manufacturing / services PMI Durable goods orders, new home sales Pending home sales GDP (Q3), consumer sentiment index |
Yesterday, USDCAD held an uneventful 1.2450 – 1.2494 range. The pairing climbed to 1.2520 in the Asian session amidst general USD strength after it was announced that the U.S. Senate approved a $4 trillion budget taking a step closer to the highly anticipated U.S. tax reform. (Republicans now need a 51% majority vote in the Senate to pass a tax bill.) USDCAD dropped back towards 1.2480 just ahead of the 5:30am Canadian retail sales and inflation releases. Although inflation nudged higher in September, retail sales for August missed badly and USDCAD immediately spiked to 1.2550. The pairing has continued higher breaking above Monday's 1.2590 high. After making marginal gains to 1.2609 – the highest since Aug. 31 – USDCAD has eased back to 1.2588 but looks to be making a 2nd run at the highs. The next key announcement that will impact the CAD comes Wednesday with the Bank of Canada interest rate announcement. There is little chance of another interest rate hike next week although there is still about a 50% probability of a rate hike in December. Currently, the TSX and the DJIA are both up by roughly 0.35%. EURCAD is up 0.50% trading between 1.4730 and 1.4862. GBPCAD is up 1.25% trading between 1.6381 and 1.6626. JPYCAD is up 0.35% trading between 0.01101 and 0.01111. Gold is down 0.47% trading between $1,279 and $1,290USD/oz., silver is down 0.75% trading between $17.00 and $17.27USD/oz., while oil is up 0.35% trading between $50.88 and $51.79.
Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, FXStreet, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve, CNBC, Forexlive, CME Group